@inproceedings{6a38c322e81741d89a7c75631c6d16d0,
title = "A probabilistic approach to estimate the damage propagation of cyber attacks",
abstract = "With rapid development in the Internet technology, business management in an organization becomes dependent on network dependency and cohesiveness in a critical information and communications infrastructure. However, the occurrence of cyber attacks has increased, targeted against vulnerable resources in information systems. Hence, in order to protect private information and computer resources, risk analysis and damage propagation need to be studied. However, the existing models present mechanisms for risk management, and these models can only be applied to specified threats such as a virus or a worm. Therefore, a probabilistic model for damage propagation based on Markov process is proposed, which can be applied to diverse threats in information systems. The proposed model enables us to predict the occurrence probability and occurrence frequency of each threat in the information systems.",
author = "Kim, {Young Gab} and Taek Lee and In, {Hoh Peter} and Chung, {Yoon Jung} and Kim, {In Jung} and Baik, {Doo Kwon}",
year = "2006",
doi = "10.1007/11734727_16",
language = "English",
isbn = "3540333541",
series = "Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)",
publisher = "Springer Verlag",
pages = "175--185",
booktitle = "Information Security and Cryptology, ICISC 2005 - 8th International Conference, Revised Selected Papers",
note = "8th International Conference on Information Security and Cryptology, ICISC 2005 ; Conference date: 01-12-2005 Through 02-12-2005",
}