Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

Pete Smith; Steven J. Davis; Felix Creutzig; Sabine Fuss; Jan Minx; Benoit Gabrielle; Etsushi Kato; Robert B. Jackson; Annette Cowie; Elmar Kriegler; Detlef P. Van Vuuren; Joeri Rogelj; Philippe Ciais; Jennifer Milne; Josep G. Canadell; David McCollum; Glen Peters; Robbie Andrew; Volker Krey; Gyami Shrestha; Pierre Friedlingstein; Thomas Gasser; Arnulf Grübler; Wolfgang K. Heidug; Matthias Jonas; Chris D. Jones; Florian Kraxner; Emma Littleton; Jason Lowe; José Roberto Moreira; Nebojsa Nakicenovic; Michael Obersteiner; Anand Patwardhan; Mathis Rogner; Ed Rubin; Ayyoob Sharifi; Asbjørn Torvanger; Yoshiki Yamagata; Jae Edmonds; Cho Yongsung

doi:10.1038/nclimate2870

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO₂ emissions

Pete Smith^*
, Steven J. Davis
, Felix Creutzig
, Sabine Fuss
, Jan Minx
, Benoit Gabrielle
, Etsushi Kato
, Robert B. Jackson
, Annette Cowie
, Elmar Kriegler
, Detlef P. Van Vuuren
, Joeri Rogelj
, Philippe Ciais
, Jennifer Milne
, Josep G. Canadell
, David McCollum
, Glen Peters
, Robbie Andrew
, Volker Krey
, Gyami Shrestha

Pierre Friedlingstein, Thomas Gasser, Arnulf Grübler, Wolfgang K. Heidug, Matthias Jonas, Chris D. Jones, Florian Kraxner, Emma Littleton, Jason Lowe, José Roberto Moreira, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Michael Obersteiner, Anand Patwardhan, Mathis Rogner, Ed Rubin, Ayyoob Sharifi, Asbjørn Torvanger, Yoshiki Yamagata, Jae Edmonds, Cho Yongsung

^*Corresponding author for this work

Department of Food and Resource Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review

1194 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	42-50
Number of pages	9
Journal	Nature Climate Change
Volume	6
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2870
Publication status	Published - 2016 Jan 1

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2015 Macmillan Publishers Limited.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
Social Sciences (miscellaneous)

Access to Document

10.1038/nclimate2870

Cite this

Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Kato, E., Jackson, R. B., Cowie, A., Kriegler, E., Van Vuuren, D. P., Rogelj, J., Ciais, P., Milne, J., Canadell, J. G., McCollum, D., Peters, G., Andrew, R., Krey, V., ... Yongsung, C. (2016). Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO₂ emissions. Nature Climate Change, 6(1), 42-50. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2870

Smith, P, Davis, SJ, Creutzig, F, Fuss, S, Minx, J, Gabrielle, B, Kato, E, Jackson, RB, Cowie, A, Kriegler, E, Van Vuuren, DP, Rogelj, J, Ciais, P, Milne, J, Canadell, JG, McCollum, D, Peters, G, Andrew, R, Krey, V, Shrestha, G, Friedlingstein, P, Gasser, T, Grübler, A, Heidug, WK, Jonas, M, Jones, CD, Kraxner, F, Littleton, E, Lowe, J, Moreira, JR, Nakicenovic, N, Obersteiner, M, Patwardhan, A, Rogner, M, Rubin, E, Sharifi, A, Torvanger, A, Yamagata, Y, Edmonds, J & Yongsung, C 2016, 'Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO₂ emissions', Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 42-50. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2870

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abstract = "To have a >50\% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals.",

author = "Pete Smith and Davis, \{Steven J.\} and Felix Creutzig and Sabine Fuss and Jan Minx and Benoit Gabrielle and Etsushi Kato and Jackson, \{Robert B.\} and Annette Cowie and Elmar Kriegler and \{Van Vuuren\}, \{Detlef P.\} and Joeri Rogelj and Philippe Ciais and Jennifer Milne and Canadell, \{Josep G.\} and David McCollum and Glen Peters and Robbie Andrew and Volker Krey and Gyami Shrestha and Pierre Friedlingstein and Thomas Gasser and Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Heidug, \{Wolfgang K.\} and Matthias Jonas and Jones, \{Chris D.\} and Florian Kraxner and Emma Littleton and Jason Lowe and Moreira, \{Jos{\'e} Roberto\} and Nebojsa Nakicenovic and Michael Obersteiner and Anand Patwardhan and Mathis Rogner and Ed Rubin and Ayyoob Sharifi and Asbj{\o}rn Torvanger and Yoshiki Yamagata and Jae Edmonds and Cho Yongsung",

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AU - Davis, Steven J.

AU - Creutzig, Felix

AU - Fuss, Sabine

AU - Minx, Jan

AU - Gabrielle, Benoit

AU - Kato, Etsushi

AU - Jackson, Robert B.

AU - Cowie, Annette

AU - Kriegler, Elmar

AU - Van Vuuren, Detlef P.

AU - Rogelj, Joeri

AU - Ciais, Philippe

AU - Milne, Jennifer

AU - Canadell, Josep G.

AU - McCollum, David

AU - Peters, Glen

AU - Andrew, Robbie

AU - Krey, Volker

AU - Shrestha, Gyami

AU - Friedlingstein, Pierre

AU - Gasser, Thomas

AU - Grübler, Arnulf

AU - Heidug, Wolfgang K.

AU - Jonas, Matthias

AU - Jones, Chris D.

AU - Kraxner, Florian

AU - Littleton, Emma

AU - Lowe, Jason

AU - Moreira, José Roberto

AU - Nakicenovic, Nebojsa

AU - Obersteiner, Michael

AU - Patwardhan, Anand

AU - Rogner, Mathis

AU - Rubin, Ed

AU - Sharifi, Ayyoob

AU - Torvanger, Asbjørn

AU - Yamagata, Yoshiki

AU - Edmonds, Jae

AU - Yongsung, Cho

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AB - To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals.

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