Creating a Practical Tool for Predicting Major Amputation Rate in Patients With Diabetic Hindfoot Ulcers: Focus on Ischemia and Infection

Background: Patients with diabetic hindfoot ulcers typically harbor significant concerns regarding their prospects for healing or the potential for major amputation. Nonetheless, a scarcity of data addressing this prevalent and critical query exists. Thus, the aim of this study was to create an initial risk-scoring system to forecast the prognosis of individuals with diabetic hindfoot ulcers, leveraging assessments of ischemia and infection severity, which are recognized as the principal risk factors for amputation. Methods: Ischemia severity was categorized as iS0, iS1, or iS2 based on transcutaneous partial oxygen tension values, while infection severity was classified as iN0, iN1, or iN2 according to the results of tissue and bone biopsy cultures. Risk scores were determined by summing the scores for ischemia and infection severity, yielding a range of 0 to 4. Wound healing outcomes were graded as either healed with or without major amputation. Wound healing outcomes were assessed based on the assigned risk scores. Results: With ascending risk scores, the proportion of patients subjected to major amputation also increased (P value for trend < 0.001). Univariable logistic regression analysis revealed a significant positive correlation between escalating risk scores and major amputation incidence. Patients with a risk score of 4 exhibited a 41-fold higher likelihood of undergoing major amputation compared to those with a risk score of 0. Conclusion: Risk scores can serve as a reliable predictor of the major amputation rate in patients with diabetic hindfoot ulcers.