Estimating carbon stocks in Korean forests between 2010 and 2110: A prediction based on forest volume-age relationships

  • Hangnan Yu
  • , Woo Kyun Lee*
  • , Yowhan Son
  • , Dooahn Kwak
  • , Kijun Nam
  • , Moonil Kim
  • , Jungyeon Byun
  • , Seungjun Lee
  • , Taesung Kwon
  • *Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    7 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This study was focused on attempting to estimate the potential change in forest carbon stocks between 2010 and 2110 in South Korea, using forest cover maps and National Forest Inventory (NFI) data. Allometric functions (logistic regression models) of volume-age relationships were developed to estimate carbon stock change during the next 100 years for Pinus densiflora, P. koraiensis, P. rigida, Larix kaempferi and Quercus spp. As a result, we found that the average forest volume would increase from 126.89 m3/ha to 246.61 m3/ha and the average carbon stocks would increase from 50.51 Mg C/ha to 99.76 Mg C/ha during the next 100 years. The carbon stocks would increase by approximately 0.5 Mg C/(ha·yr), a high value if other northern countries' (Canada, Russia, China, etc.) rates of increase are considered, as these are -0.10 to 0.28 Mg C/(ha·yr) as determined in a previous study. This can probably be attributed to the fact that the change in carbon stocks was estimated without the consideration of mortality, thinning, and tree species' change in this study, which is may lead to somewhat overestimation of carbon sequestration. However, this study is meaningful, as the estimated carbon stocks were based on the data from NFI and forest cover maps.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)105-110
    Number of pages6
    JournalForest Science and Technology
    Volume9
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2013 Jun

    Bibliographical note

    Funding Information:
    The authors would like to thank J.Y. Fang and J.L. Zhu for their invaluable comments about the biomass–age relationship model for estimating carbon stocks in forests. This study was carried out with the support of “Developing Forest Management Model for Climate Change Adaptation (Project No. FE0100-2009-01)” provided by the Korea Forest Research Institute and the “A3 Foresight Program” (Grant No A307-K005) provided by the National Research Foundation of Korea.

    Keywords

    • National Forest Inventory
    • carbon stocks
    • forest cover map
    • forest volume-age relationships

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Forestry
    • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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