Abstract
This paper discusses estimation of the parameters in an SIR epidemic model from the observed longitudinal new infection count data. The potential problems of the standard MLE approaches are revealed and possible remedies suggested. The analysis is based on the epidemic data from the 2009 outbreak of H1N1 influenza on the campus of Washington State University.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 198-203 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| Journal | Mathematical Biosciences |
| Volume | 270 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2015 Dec 1 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2015 Elsevier Inc..
Keywords
- 62M-05
- 92-08
- 92D30
- H1N1 influenza
- Monte Carlo approximation
- Parameter estimation
- Stochastic SIR model
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Modelling and Simulation
- General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
- General Immunology and Microbiology
- General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
- Applied Mathematics
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