Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model

Do Hoi Kim, Young Geun Shin, Sang Sung Park, Dong Sik Jang

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

    10 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Generally, researching method of technology forecasting has been depended on intuition of expert until now. So there were many defects like consuming much time and money and so on. In this paper, we forecast diffusion of technology by using Bass model that is one of the quantitative analysis methods. We applied this model at technology market. And for input data of experiment, we use patent data that is representing each technology in technology market. We expect this research will be suggest new possibility that patent data can be applied in Bass model.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationComputational Methods in Science and Engineering - Advances in Computational Science, Lectures Presented at the Int. Conference on Computational Methods in Science and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008
    Pages149-152
    Number of pages4
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2009
    Event6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008 - Hersonissos, Crete, Greece
    Duration: 2008 Sept 252008 Sept 30

    Publication series

    NameAIP Conference Proceedings
    Volume1148 2
    ISSN (Print)0094-243X
    ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

    Other

    Other6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008
    Country/TerritoryGreece
    CityHersonissos, Crete
    Period08/9/2508/9/30

    Keywords

    • Bass model
    • Diffusion
    • Patent
    • Technology forecasting

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
    • Ecology
    • Plant Science
    • General Physics and Astronomy
    • Nature and Landscape Conservation

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