Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model

Do Hoi Kim; Young Geun Shin; Sang Sung Park; Dong Sik Jang

doi:10.1063/1.3225258

Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model

Do Hoi Kim, Young Geun Shin, Sang Sung Park, Dong Sik Jang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Generally, researching method of technology forecasting has been depended on intuition of expert until now. So there were many defects like consuming much time and money and so on. In this paper, we forecast diffusion of technology by using Bass model that is one of the quantitative analysis methods. We applied this model at technology market. And for input data of experiment, we use patent data that is representing each technology in technology market. We expect this research will be suggest new possibility that patent data can be applied in Bass model.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Computational Methods in Science and Engineering - Advances in Computational Science, Lectures Presented at the Int. Conference on Computational Methods in Science and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008
Pages	149-152
Number of pages	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3225258
Publication status	Published - 2009
Event	6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008 - Hersonissos, Crete, Greece Duration: 2008 Sept 25 → 2008 Sept 30

Publication series

Name	AIP Conference Proceedings
Volume	1148 2
ISSN (Print)	0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)	1551-7616

Other

Other	6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008
Country/Territory	Greece
City	Hersonissos, Crete
Period	08/9/25 → 08/9/30

Keywords

Bass model
Diffusion
Patent
Technology forecasting

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
Ecology
Plant Science
General Physics and Astronomy
Nature and Landscape Conservation

Access to Document

10.1063/1.3225258

Cite this

Kim, D. H., Shin, Y. G., Park, S. S., & Jang, D. S. (2009). Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model. In Computational Methods in Science and Engineering - Advances in Computational Science, Lectures Presented at the Int. Conference on Computational Methods in Science and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008 (pp. 149-152). (AIP Conference Proceedings; Vol. 1148 2). https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3225258

Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model. / Kim, Do Hoi; Shin, Young Geun; Park, Sang Sung et al.
Computational Methods in Science and Engineering - Advances in Computational Science, Lectures Presented at the Int. Conference on Computational Methods in Science and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008. 2009. p. 149-152 (AIP Conference Proceedings; Vol. 1148 2).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Kim, DH, Shin, YG, Park, SS & Jang, DS 2009, Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model. in Computational Methods in Science and Engineering - Advances in Computational Science, Lectures Presented at the Int. Conference on Computational Methods in Science and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008. AIP Conference Proceedings, vol. 1148 2, pp. 149-152, 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2008, ICCMSE 2008, Hersonissos, Crete, Greece, 08/9/25. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3225258

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Forecasting diffusion of technology by using bass model

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Keywords

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