Abstract
A time series or univariate random process is compressible if it is predictable. Experiments with a variety of processes readily show that adaptive neural networks are at least as effective as their linear counterparts in one-step-ahead prediction. We explore the relationship between the predictive accuracy attained by the network, in the long run, and the closeness with which it can fit (and overfit) small segments of the same series in the course of many passes through the same data. Our findings suggest that the predictability of a process can be estimated by measuring the ease with which its increments can be overfitted.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Title of host publication | Proceedings - 1992 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN 1992 |
Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
Pages | 755-760 |
Number of pages | 6 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 0780305590 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1992 |
Externally published | Yes |
Event | 1992 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN 1992 - Baltimore, United States Duration: 1992 Jun 7 → 1992 Jun 11 |
Publication series
Name | Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks |
---|---|
Volume | 1 |
Conference
Conference | 1992 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN 1992 |
---|---|
Country/Territory | United States |
City | Baltimore |
Period | 92/6/7 → 92/6/11 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 1992 IEEE.
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Software
- Artificial Intelligence