TY - JOUR
T1 - Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia
T2 - Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model
AU - Lam, Aileen
AU - Lee, Soocheol
AU - Mercure, Jean François
AU - Cho, Yongsung
AU - Lin, Chun Hsu
AU - Pollitt, Hector
AU - Chewpreecha, Unnada
AU - Billington, Sophie
N1 - Funding Information:
Acknowledgments: The authors wish to thank the The Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies SEEPS conference participants for lively discussion on the subject. We thank three anonymous referees for their supportive comments. The authors acknowledge C-EERNG and Cambridge Econometrics for support, and funding from EPSRC (JFM, fellowship no. EP/ K007254/1); the Newton Fund (JFM, HP, UC, SB EPSRC grant no EP/N002504/1 and ESRC grant no. ES/N013174/1), NERC (HP, UC, grant no. NE/P015093/1).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 by the authors.
PY - 2018/5/17
Y1 - 2018/5/17
N2 - In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.
AB - In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.
KW - CO emission reduction
KW - E3ME
KW - East Asian countries
KW - FTT: Transport model
KW - The diffusion of electric vehicle
KW - Transport sectors
KW - Transportation policies
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85047012442&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3390/su10051612
DO - 10.3390/su10051612
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85047012442
SN - 2071-1050
VL - 10
JO - Sustainability (Switzerland)
JF - Sustainability (Switzerland)
IS - 5
M1 - 1612
ER -
