Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

Aileen Lam; Soocheol Lee; Jean François Mercure; Yongsung Cho; Chun Hsu Lin; Hector Pollitt; Unnada Chewpreecha; Sophie Billington

doi:10.3390/su10051612

Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

Aileen Lam, Soocheol Lee, Jean François Mercure, Yongsung Cho, Chun Hsu Lin, Hector Pollitt, Unnada Chewpreecha, Sophie Billington

Department of Food and Resource Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper we apply a model of technological diffusion, Future Technology Transformations in the Transport Sector (FTT: Transport), linked to the E3ME macroeconomic model, to study possible future technological transitions in personal passenger transport in four East Asian countries. We assess how targeted policies could impact on these transitions by defining four scenarios based on policies that aim to reduce emissions from transport. For each country we find that an integrated approach of tax incentives, subsidies, regulations (fuel economy efficiency), kick-start programs and biofuel programs yield the most significant emission reductions because, when combined, they accelerate effectively the diffusion of electric vehicles in the region.

Original language	English
Article number	1612
Journal	Sustainability (Switzerland)
Volume	10
Issue number	5
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051612
Publication status	Published - 2018 May 17

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 by the authors.

Keywords

CO emission reduction
E3ME
East Asian countries
FTT: Transport model
The diffusion of electric vehicle
Transport sectors
Transportation policies

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Computer Science (miscellaneous)
Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
Geography, Planning and Development
Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Hardware and Architecture
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Computer Networks and Communications
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.3390/su10051612

Cite this

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AU - Cho, Yongsung

AU - Lin, Chun Hsu

AU - Pollitt, Hector

AU - Chewpreecha, Unnada

AU - Billington, Sophie

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KW - East Asian countries

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KW - The diffusion of electric vehicle

KW - Transport sectors

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Policies and predictions for a low-carbon transition by 2050 in passenger vehicles in East Asia: Based on an analysis using the E3ME-FTT model

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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