Abstract
We first show that the solution to the real exchange rate under the Taylor rule with interest rate smoothing can have two alternative representations—one based on a first-order difference equation and the other based on a second-order difference equation. Then, by comparing error terms from these two alternative representations and analyzing their second moments, we evaluate the relative importance of Taylor-rule fundamentals, monetary policy shocks, and risk-premium shocks in the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Empirical results suggest that the risk-premium shock is the largest contributor to real exchange rate movements for all the countries examined, with the Taylor-rule fundamentals and monetary policy shocks playing a limited role. These results are robust to various alternative sets of parameter values considered for the Taylor rule with interest rate smoothing.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 201-219 |
| Number of pages | 19 |
| Journal | Review of International Economics |
| Volume | 27 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2019 Feb 1 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:We are grateful to Jinill Kim, Manjong Lee, and seminar participants at the Bank of Korea, Chung-Ang University, and Sungkyunkwan University for their valuable comments and discussions. Kim acknowledges financial support from the Bryan C. Cressey Professorship at the University of Washington. The usual disclaimers apply.
Funding Information:
We are grateful to Jinill Kim, Manjong Lee, and seminar participants at the Bank of Korea, Chung‐ Ang University, and Sungkyunkwan University for their valuable comments and discussions. Kim acknowledges financial support from the Bryan C. Cressey Professorship at the University of Washington. The usual disclaimers apply.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Development