The link between economic growth and growth volatility

Shu Chin Lin, Dong Hyeon Kim

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    21 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and growth volatility through simultaneous equations system. By employing the identification through heteroskedasticity method of Rigobon (Rev Econ Stat 85:777–792, 2003) and using a panel of 158 countries over the period 1960–2010, we find that output volatility is detrimental to economic growth, suggesting that stabilization policies to mitigate short-run economic fluctuations contribute to long-run economic growth. And economic growth accelerates output variability, supporting the feedback effects from growth to the volatility. The evidence is robust to a number of sensitivity tests.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)43-63
    Number of pages21
    JournalEmpirical Economics
    Volume46
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2013 Mar 2

    Bibliographical note

    Funding Information:
    The authors are grateful to R. Rigobon for kindly making available computer code. Financial support (NSC 97-2410-H-032-003) from the National Science Council of Taiwan is herewith gratefully acknowledged. The usual disclaimer applies.

    Publisher Copyright:
    © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013.

    Keywords

    • Economic growth
    • Growth volatility
    • Identification through heteroskedasticity
    • Simultaneous equations models

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Statistics and Probability
    • Mathematics (miscellaneous)
    • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
    • Economics and Econometrics

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